Will the global battery market grow in 2024-2025?
We estimate the global battery market will see 30%-40% annual growth in 2024-2025, mainly supported by our anticipated sales growth of electric vehicles (EVs) in China. Fading EV subsidies in Europe and less aggressive emission standard targets in U.S. could moderate EV sales and battery demand growth in these regions during the period.
Which country manufactures the most EV batteries in the world?
China is the undisputed leader in battery manufacturing, dominating the global production of essential battery materials such as lithium, cobalt, and nickel. Chinese companies supply 80% of the world’s battery cells and control nearly 60% of the EV battery market. 13. Amperex Technology Limited (ATL)
Why did the EV battery installation-to-production ratio decline in 2024?
The EV battery installation-to-production ratio declined to 47% in 2024 first half, compared with 70% in 2021, as EV demand growth slowed and battery production rose. China's crowded market has weakened pricing power in the industry.
Will China's battery market be consolidated?
Chinese and Korean battery players will remain in the lead in the global battery market on their technology advantages and strong ties with automakers in the next few years at least. We will likely see market consolidation in China's battery market under the new guidance by the Chinese government to improve overcapacity issues.
What are Europe & USA looking for in a battery lifecycle?
That means Europe and USA are looking for alternative chemistry, development of the complete supply chain and legislating for lifecycle. In addition, more companies are looking at the complete battery lifecycle and the management of that.
How will CATL's growth impact the EV market in 2024-2025?
Sources: Companies’ announcements, S&P Global Ratings. CATL will likely expand annual sales volume by 10%-21% over 2024-2025. Drivers include the growing EV market in China, with some production gradually expanding to Europe. This will mitigate the impact of lower battery prices and support 3%-7% annual revenue growth over this year and the next.
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